Rubato — turn-taking timing model

Predict the silence as a distribution, then decide when to speak.

A 3,137-parameter model that answers one question at 50 Hz: given everything heard so far, how much longer will this silence last? A dynamic program turns that distribution into a start/wait decision under an explicit, tunable asymmetry between talking over someone and answering late.

It decides when to talk. It does not decide what to say, and it contains no speech recogniser, no language model and no synthesiser. It is a middle layer you drop into an existing pipeline.

Three lines

from rubato import load_pretrained, CostWeights

taker = load_pretrained(hf_repo="NagaYu/rubato-timing", weights=CostWeights.from_seconds_per_collision(2.0))
should_speak = taker.push_audio(chunk).should_speak     # one 20 ms frame of float audio

seconds_per_collision is the whole configuration surface: how many seconds of extra latency is one talk-over worth to you? Small values give an eager agent, large values a patient one, and the sweep between them is the Pareto front below.

Framework adapters: rubato.integrations.pipecat_processor.RubatoTurnGate and rubato.integrations.livekit_plugin.RubatoTurnDetector.

Source, benchmark protocol, ablations and sensitivity analyses: https://github.com/NagaYu/rubato

What it was measured to do

Both axes are minimised. A fixed threshold can only ever trace the outer curve -- one threshold buys one point. The inset is the band real systems ship in.

Held out on 5988 silences from speakers never seen in training (maptask, CC-BY-4.0).

At the operating point matched to a 1000 ms threshold: latency 1000 → 772 ms (95 % CI 707–831), talk-over 6.3% → 6.5% (95 % CI 5.6%–7.6%). Intervals are a conversation-level cluster bootstrap.

How it works

1. Discrete-time hazard. h_k = P(partner resumes in frame k+1 | silent through k, evidence up to k), from a one-hidden-layer network over a causal feature vector: a radial-basis expansion of log elapsed silence, turn-so-far duration and pause count, transcript completeness (gated by ASR lag, because a real recogniser has not delivered the last word yet), terminal prosody where audio exists, acoustic precursor cues such as in-breaths, and a running per-partner posterior.
2. Optimal stopping. A backward dynamic program over the forecast survival curve minimises alpha * P(collision) + beta * latency. Being pre-empted -- the human carries on while the agent is still silent -- costs nothing, which is what produces the human-like behaviour: when a resumption looks likely, waiting is nearly free; when the floor is clearly open, the agent can start at zero gap.
3. Online entrainment. Conjugate posteriors over each partner's pause and gap distributions, and an EMA of their speech rate, shrinking to a population prior so the first thirty seconds are never worse than not adapting.

Inputs, outputs, and what it needs from you

Limitations

• English lexical features. The temporal and acoustic half transfers; the completeness features were fitted on English and will mislead elsewhere. Retrain on target-language data.
• Task-oriented training data. Trained on the HCRC Map Task Corpus: two people collaborating on a route-following task. Open-domain conversation has longer, more variable gaps; expect to retune seconds_per_collision.
• Two-party only. Multi-party floor management is a different problem.
• The offline protocol makes an assumption. On a floor transfer we assume the floor would have stayed open had the agent not spoken. The alternative is worse (informative censoring); both are reported in the repository README.
• It is a timing layer, not a turn-taking oracle. It cannot know that you paused because you were about to say something difficult.

Responsible use

Better timing makes an assistant less irritating. It also makes a synthetic voice harder to distinguish from a person, and that is a use this model is not for.

• Disclose that the system is an AI. This model is released on the assumption that the deployment does so, in the modality the user is actually attending to -- spoken, not buried in a settings page.
• Do not use it to impersonate anyone, to make an automated caller pass as human, or in any deployment whose value depends on the person not knowing. Several jurisdictions require disclosure for automated calls; treat that as a floor, not a target.
• Do not use it to time interruptions strategically -- to cut a person off at a moment calculated to stop them finishing a thought. The asymmetric cost makes that easy to configure, which is exactly why it is named here.
• The entrainment state is a behavioural profile of an individual. Keep it in session scope unless you have a reason and consent to persist it.

Training data

maptask (CC-BY-4.0). Anderson et al. (1991), The HCRC Map Task Corpus. Language and Speech 34(4). Annotations (c) 2007 HCRC, Univ. of Edinburgh & Univ. of Glasgow. CC BY 4.0. https://groups.inf.ed.ac.uk/maptask/

No audio was redistributed in building this model.

Citation

@software{rubato,
  title  = {Rubato: predicting silence distributions for spoken-dialogue turn-taking},
  year   = {2026},
  url    = {https://huggingface.co/NagaYu/rubato-timing}
}